25 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1690
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Trnka
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+206
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)