25 Jul · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1559
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1499
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (39)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)