25 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1533
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.