25 Jul · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1646
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Niezgoda
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 65% (65)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)