25 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H18-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.