25 Jul · 19:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1514
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kus
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1517
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kus🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 87% (15)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.