25 Jul · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1500
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Drozd
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1426
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)