David Sarganek vs Rostislav Niezgoda

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25 Jul · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿David Sarganek

ELO 1669

3-2Final setsSarganek won

🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda

ELO 1647

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niezgoda at 51%. The actual result was David Sarganek 3-2 — the underdog won.

David Sarganek — profile →Rostislav Niezgoda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rostislav Niezgoda favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 75.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rostislav Niezgoda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rostislav Niezgoda −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 3.5

closing 1.33

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Sarganek is favoured to win, below means Rostislav Niezgoda.

▲ David Sarganekpre 45% → final 89%

Rostislav Niezgoda ▼

Biggest swing 85 ptsSarganek recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games