25 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1399
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hruby
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1396
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hruby
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.