25 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1426
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)