25 Jul · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1469
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kus
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1517
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kus stays under total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.