25 Jul · 22:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radovan Solle
ELO 1491
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kus
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1517
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Kus stays under total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.