25 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vavricka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1396
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)