25 Jul · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Miloslav Dvorak
ELO 1416
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vavricka
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)