25 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1558
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Prochazka
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Prochazka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)