25 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1514
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1531
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 87% (15)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.