25 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1558
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulisek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1515
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Kulisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (75)
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H33-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.