25 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvor
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1470
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.