25 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1649
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1764
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorisek
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H12-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)