26 Jul · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1654
FormLWLLL
38%
62%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+151
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)