26 Jul · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1527
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (69)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.