26 Jul · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1556
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skulina
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.