26 Jul · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1566
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H19-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)