26 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1654
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H28-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.