26 Jul · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1510
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1677
FormWLLWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+167
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)