26 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1527
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skalicky
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 72% (39)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.