26 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1489
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1510
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.