26 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1677
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Trnka
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)