26 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kamil Drozd
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.