26 Jul · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1489
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)