26 Jul · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skalicky
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H10-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.