26 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vodal
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1474
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Budik🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 80% (70)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H13-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.