26 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PR
🇨🇿Pavel Rissky
ELO 1512
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rissky
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1492
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 67% (83)
Fair odds · Rissky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.