26 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1492
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulc
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1440
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.