26 Jul · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1605
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lysakowski
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1474
FormLLLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H51-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-34)