Michal Lysakowski vs Marcin Stepien

← TT Cup predictions

26 Jul · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1605

3-1Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1623

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stepien at 53%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.75

Favourite won

Total 78.5

72 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 43% → final 95%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsLysakowski recovered from 40%71 points · 4 games