26 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1392
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nemec
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1422
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Nemec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (79)
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H19-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.