26 Jul · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1576
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1672
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (61)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H9-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)