26 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fnukal
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fnukal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)