26 Jul · 17:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1526
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Neterda
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1524
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.