26 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1524
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.