26 Jul · 20:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1567
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krupnik
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1549
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.