26 Jul · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1588
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (50)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)