26 Jul · 23:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1488
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Boltik
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1559
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)