26 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1588
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1517
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (50)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)