26 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1519
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vavricka
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)