26 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kus
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1476
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.