26 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1472
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zajicek
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1488
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 68% (69)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.