26 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1526
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1486
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (38)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.