26 Jul · 17:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1669
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sarganek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1517
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H19-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-12)